I have a buddy named Andy, who we will call AJR so as to be less confusing, that each year works up the numbers on the Biggest Loser contestants and figures out who has the best chances to win the title of Biggest Loser. I thought I would share AJR’s most recent post with you guys.
Anyway, one of my favorite blogs to write is the Biggest Loser math for the finale. Let’s look at the final four.
Ashley – 5’5″, 25 yrs old, starting weight – 374 (wow), last weight – 213 (loss of 43.04%)
Michael – 6’3″, 30 yrs old, starting weight – 526 (wow), last weight – 299 (loss of 43.16%) [Note from Andy: corrected these numbers slightly]
Koli – 6’1″, 28 yrs old, starting weight – 403, last weight – 218 (loss of 45.91%)
Daris – 5’10″, 25 yrs old, starting weight – 346, last weight – 197 (loss of 43.06%)
Before we get too far, let me throw Koli and Daris out of the picture. Their starting weight was not high enough. Ashley is 4 inches shorter than Daris but 30 lbs heavier at the beginning. Wow. Koli at 6’1″ could maybe get down to 175. That is really skinny. However, even at 175, Michael would beat him with a weight of 225 and Ashley would beat him with a weight of 160.
Initially, I thought Michael was in the driver’s seat but I am wrong. Ashley is the driver. This is Ashley’s game to lose. At 5’5″, she could easily end up at 140. That is 73 more lbs but totally doable for the season finale. If she ends at 140, that is a weight loss of 62.57%. Mike would have to weigh in at 196 to barely beat her. I am not saying Michael won’t lose 103 more lbs. It just looks a little easier for Ashley to win this game.
In Season 7, Helen who is 5’6″ ended up at 117 lbs. Rebecca from Season 8 who is 5’6″ ended up at 140 lbs. Ashley is an inch shorter than both of them. My final guess for her is 132, a weight loss of 64.7%. Michael will not end up at 184.
My final guesses as as follows:
Ashley – 132
Michael – 192
Koli – 177
Daris – 165
Seems interesting that the biggest dude (Mike) and the biggest girl (Ashmonster) were the two guaranteed finalists. Also, all the remaining contestants are under the age of 30 (Oatmeal being the last older contest being eliminated).
So, did that align with what you thought? Who is your choice to win it all?
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